
Recently I read with interest an article by Kenneth Rogoff, Project Syndicate in Korea Times about some of the challenges and opportunities faced by Europe.
Below is an abstract:
What will Europe's growth trajectory look like after the financial crisis? For some Europeans, still nervous that their economies and banking systems might collapse, this is a little like asking a passenger on the Titanic what they plan to do when they arrive in New York. But it is a crucial question to ask, especially when Europe has been facing so much outside pressure from the likes of the United States and the International Monetary Fund to focus on short-term Keynesian stimulus policies.
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Yet, ugly or not, the downturn will eventually end. Yes, there is still a real risk of hitting an iceberg.
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But, for now, a complete meltdown seems distinctly less likely than gradual stabilization followed by a tepid recovery, with soaring debt levels and lingering high unemployment.
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An epic, financial-crisis-driven recession, such as the one we are still experiencing, is not a one-year event. So policymakers' responses cannot be evaluated by short-term measures, either. It is just as important to ask what happens over the next five years as over the next six months, and the jury is still very much out on that.
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The recent recession has presented challenges, but European leaders were right to avoid becoming intoxicated with short-term Keynesian policies, especially where these are inimical to addressing Europe's long-term challenges.
And now they hit an iceberg and the question of strategy planning seems as relevant as the above question of "what they plan to do when they arrive in New York"
As for continents according to Kenneth Rogoff I believe it is for companies in that: "policymakers' responses cannot be evaluated by short-term meassures, either. It is just as important to ask what happens over the next five years as over the next six months, and the jury is still very much out on that".
If you are a B2B policymaker you may find interest in reading my blog "Strategy On-line" where I also discuss practical hands-on tools in strategy formulation and execution or your may find interest in reading my little "epic" story of a ship, a captain and his crew: "Back on the right course"PETER SØRENSEN




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